Will UA1812 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Portland · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC3336, AV2056, AZ4500, CA7328, EK6375, LH7690, NH7324, NZ9342, VA8454
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:32.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:32≈16:30
Lands18:24≈18:13
As of 09:19, UA1812 should push back about 16:30 (scheduled 16:32) and land about 18:13 (scheduled 18:24).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA1812's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA1430 from Palm Springs, due 15:130
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 4
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−11
weather at PortlandUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:13San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
14late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1812 San Francisco to Portland left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 72 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.