Will VA8454 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Portland · Sat 31 Oct · Virgin Australia · operated by United as UA1812
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:32≈16:30
Lands18:24≈18:12
As of 15:19, VA8454 should push back about 16:30 (scheduled 16:32) and land about 18:12 (scheduled 18:24).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA1812's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UA1430 from Palm Springs, due 15:13−1
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−2
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly70% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 2
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−12
weather at PortlandUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:47San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
14late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
VA8454 San Francisco to Portland left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 72 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.