Will UA7949 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Tokyo Narita · Sun 1 Nov · United · operated by ANA as NH7
same answer since San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:05≈11:08San Francisco time
Lands14:50≈14:41MonTokyo time
As of 02:19, UA7949 should push back about 11:08 (scheduled 11:05) and land about 14:41 (scheduled 14:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningNH7's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH8 from Tokyo, due 09:200
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco+1
Leaves≈3−1 to 13
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−9
weather at Tokyodepartures at San FranciscoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:20San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
20late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA7949 San Francisco to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 90 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It wasn't cancelled once.