Will CA1303 be delayed today?
Beijing → Shenzhen Bao'an · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:55≈13:14
Lands16:20≈16:24
As of 06:59, CA1303 should push back about 13:14 (scheduled 12:55) and land about 16:24 (scheduled 16:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonCA1303's typical departure, last 90 days22
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CA868 from Shenzhen, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at ShenzhenFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈2012 to 35
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈4
departures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 58
usually 1 in 24Check again 09:55Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
18on time
52late
15very late
4cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1303 Beijing to Shenzhen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 18 of its last 89 flights, usually 23 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 67. It was cancelled 4 times.