Will CA1397 be delayed today?
Beijing → Shenzhen Bao'an · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:10≈14:31
Lands17:35≈17:37
As of 07:19, CA1397 should push back about 14:31 (scheduled 14:10) and land about 17:37 (scheduled 17:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonCA1397's typical departure, last 90 days24
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at ShenzhenFrom our forecast: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 2% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈2014 to 39
Made up in the air−19
Lands≈2
departures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
usually 1 in 68Check again 11:10Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
8on time
63late
14very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1397 Beijing to Shenzhen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 8 of its last 86 flights, usually 24 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 77. It was cancelled once.