Will CA1415 be delayed today?
Beijing → Chengdu Shuangliu · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:30≈09:41
As of 00:49, CA1415 should push back about 09:41 (scheduled 09:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningCA1415's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Beijing is backing up40% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 34
weather at ChengduAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 34
usually 1 in 66Check again 06:30Beijing time
Last 90 days
46on time
28late
8very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA1415 Beijing to Chengdu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 85 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It was cancelled 3 times.