Will CA4120 be delayed today?
Beijing → Chengdu Shuangliu · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:55≈11:06
As of 06:59, CA4120 should push back about 11:06 (scheduled 10:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningCA4120's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 18
weather at ChengduAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 07:55Beijing time
Last 90 days
43on time
40late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA4120 Beijing to Chengdu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 43 of its last 88 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 45. It wasn't cancelled once.