Will CA4186 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Chengdu Shuangliu · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:55≈10:07
As of 22:19, CA4186 should push back about 10:07 (scheduled 09:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningCA4186's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 31
weather at ChengduAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 133
Check again tomorrow 06:55Beijing time
Last 90 days
38on time
45late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA4186 Beijing to Chengdu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 38 of its last 86 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 48. It wasn't cancelled once.