Will CA1501 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Shanghai Hongqiao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:25≈08:38
Lands10:40≈10:44
As of 22:19, CA1501 should push back about 08:38 (scheduled 08:25) and land about 10:44 (scheduled 10:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningCA1501's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−2
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈157 to 32
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈4
weather at ShanghaiAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 05:25Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
38on time
42late
7very late
1cancelled
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CA1501 Beijing to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 38 of its last 88 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 49. It was cancelled once.