Will CA1507 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Shanghai Hongqiao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:25≈07:40
Lands09:40≈09:46
As of 22:19, CA1507 should push back about 07:40 (scheduled 07:25) and land about 09:46 (scheduled 09:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningCA1507's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈158 to 30
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈6
weather at ShanghaiAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tonight 04:25Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
34on time
48late
7very late
1cancelled
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CA1507 Beijing to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 90 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 55. It was cancelled once.