Will CA1589 be delayed today?
Beijing → Shanghai Hongqiao · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:30≈20:48
Lands22:45≈22:52
As of 15:39, CA1589 should push back about 20:48 (scheduled 20:30) and land about 22:52 (scheduled 22:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual eveningCA1589's typical departure, last 90 days19
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−2
Beijing is backing up47% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈208 to 35
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈7
weather at ShanghaiAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 133
usually 1 in 67Check again 17:30Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
24on time
46late
11very late
7cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA1589 Beijing to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 24 of its last 88 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 57. It was cancelled 7 times.