Will AD7877 be delayed today?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · Azul · operated by Air Europa as UX1509
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:17
Lands17:50≈17:49
As of 01:19, AD7877 should push back about 15:17 (scheduled 15:10) and land about 17:49 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonUX1509's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UX1502 from Frankfurt, due 13:350
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at FrankfurtFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈72 to 18
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−1
departures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 13:35Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
54on time
22late
3very late
0cancelled
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AD7877 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 79 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.