Will AA8639 be delayed today?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines · operated by Iberia as IB1333
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:55≈16:10
Lands18:35≈18:41
As of 01:19, AA8639 should push back about 16:10 (scheduled 15:55) and land about 18:41 (scheduled 18:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonIB1333's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as IB1328 from Frankfurt, due 15:000
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at FrankfurtFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈155 to 24
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈6
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 15:00Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
37on time
28late
7very late
0cancelled
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AA8639 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 72 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 35. It wasn't cancelled once.