Will NH281 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Tokushima Awaodori / JMSDF Tokushima Air Base · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:55≈08:59
Lands≈10:15
As of 06:49, NH281 should push back about 08:59 (scheduled 08:55) and land about 10:15 (scheduled 10:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningNH281's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH388 from Yonago, which has landed0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈42 to 12
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈0
weather at TokushimaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:10Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
62on time
25late
3very late
0cancelled
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F
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NH281 Tokyo to Tokushima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 62 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 28. It wasn't cancelled once.