Will JL461 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Tokushima Awaodori / JMSDF Tokushima Air Base · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:35≈15:41
Lands16:50≈16:53
As of 01:19, JL461 should push back about 15:41 (scheduled 15:35) and land about 16:53 (scheduled 16:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonJL461's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL184 from Kanazawa, due 09:450
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈60 to 17
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈3
weather at Tokushimadepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:45Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
52on time
32late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL461 Tokyo to Tokushima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 52 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 38. It wasn't cancelled once.