Will NH285 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Tokushima Awaodori / JMSDF Tokushima Air Base · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:15≈17:21
Lands18:30≈18:32
As of 08:19, NH285 should push back about 17:21 (scheduled 17:15) and land about 18:32 (scheduled 18:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual eveningNH285's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈62 to 15
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈2
weather at TokushimaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 55Check again 14:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
72on time
12late
4very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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NH285 Tokyo to Tokushima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 90 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled twice.