Will JL465 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Tokushima Awaodori / JMSDF Tokushima Air Base · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:40≈19:45
Lands20:55≈20:57
As of 04:19, JL465 should push back about 19:45 (scheduled 19:40) and land about 20:57 (scheduled 20:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningJL465's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL640 from Kagoshima, due 09:150
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈50 to 16
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈2
weather at Tokushimadepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 125
usually 1 in 59Check again 09:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
22late
5very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL465 Tokyo to Tokushima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 90 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It was cancelled twice.