Will NH73 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:00≈17:06
Lands18:35≈18:45
As of 08:19, NH73 should push back about 17:06 (scheduled 17:00) and land about 18:45 (scheduled 18:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual eveningNH73's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈61 to 21
Lost in the air+4
Lands≈10
weather at SapporoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
usually 1 in 55Check again 14:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
49on time
21late
18very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH73 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 49 of its last 90 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 39. It was cancelled twice.