Will AV6508 be delayed tomorrow?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · Avianca · operated by Lufthansa as LH1115
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:15≈17:27
Lands19:55≈19:57
As of 20:19, AV6508 should push back about 17:27 (scheduled 17:15) and land about 19:57 (scheduled 19:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningLH1115's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as LH1114 from Frankfurt, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈102 to 23
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈2
weather at Frankfurtdepartures at MadridLufthansa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 14:15Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
36on time
42late
8very late
0cancelled
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AV6508 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 36 of its last 86 flights, usually 17 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 50. It wasn't cancelled once.