Will AV6518 be delayed today?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · Avianca · operated by Lufthansa as LH1113
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:20≈13:29
Lands≈16:00
As of 10:39, AV6518 should push back about 13:29 (scheduled 13:20) and land about 16:00 (scheduled 16:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual afternoonLH1113's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as LH1112 from Frankfurt, due 12:35−2
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈92 to 21
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈0
weather at Frankfurtdepartures at MadridLufthansa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 12:35Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
44on time
33late
11very late
0cancelled
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AV6518 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 44 of its last 88 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 44. It wasn't cancelled once.