Will MU522 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Shanghai Pudong · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
same answer since Tokyo time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:55≈16:57Tokyo time
Lands19:20≈19:09Shanghai time
As of 19:19, MU522 should push back about 16:57 (scheduled 16:55) and land about 19:09 (scheduled 19:20).
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonMU522's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane looks on timeIt usually comes in as MU521 from Shanghai, which has landed−3
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−3
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈2−3 to 7
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−11
weather at Shanghaidepartures at TokyoChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 59Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
18late
12very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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MU522 Tokyo to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 30. It was cancelled twice.