Will FA401 be delayed today?
Johannesburg → Durban King Shaka · Sun 1 Nov · FlySafair
same answer since Johannesburg time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:10≈13:55
Lands15:20≈15:03
As of 16:49, FA401 should push back about 13:55 (scheduled 14:10) and land about 15:03 (scheduled 15:20).
Why ≈15 min early
A usual afternoonFA401's typical departure, last 90 days−7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as FA400 from Durban, which has landed−1
On time on the board so farJohannesburg departures board−7
Calmer than usual at JohannesburgFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Johannesburg is backing up72% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈−15−24 to −5
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈−17
weather at DurbanFLYSAFAIR todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
31on time
1late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FA401 Johannesburg to Durban left within 15 minutes of schedule on 31 of its last 33 flights, usually 13 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.