Will SA555 be delayed today?
Johannesburg → Durban King Shaka · Sun 1 Nov · South African Airways
same answer since Johannesburg time
Unlikely. It could leave early, around 14:41.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:50≈14:41
Lands16:00≈15:51
As of 16:49, SA555 should push back about 14:41 (scheduled 14:50) and land about 15:51 (scheduled 16:00).
Why ≈9 min early
A usual afternoonSA555's typical departure, last 90 days−6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as SA546 from Durban, which has landed−1
On time on the board so farJohannesburg departures board−4
Calmer than usual at JohannesburgFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Johannesburg is backing up72% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
SOUTH AFRICAN AIRWAYS is running late today47% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈−9−16 to 0
weather at Durbanstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 59Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
6late
2very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
SA555 Johannesburg to Durban left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 67 flights, usually 12 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It was cancelled once.