Will JL16 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Los Angeles · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:05≈17:18
Lands10:23≈10:21
As of 08:19, JL16 should push back about 17:18 (scheduled 17:05) and land about 10:21 (scheduled 10:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningJL16's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL11 from Dallas-Fort Worth, due 15:25−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈153 to 31
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈−2
weather at Los AngelesJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 167Check again 15:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
37on time
38late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL16 Tokyo to Los Angeles left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 53. It wasn't cancelled once.