Will JL505 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:00≈08:02
Lands09:35≈09:40
As of 07:19, JL505 should push back about 08:02 (scheduled 08:00) and land about 09:40 (scheduled 09:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningJL505's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈20 to 6
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈5
weather at SapporoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
67on time
14late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL505 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 67 of its last 85 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.