Will JL509 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:05≈10:07
Lands11:40≈11:45
As of 01:19, JL509 should push back about 10:07 (scheduled 10:05) and land about 11:45 (scheduled 11:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningJL509's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈20 to 10
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈5
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
Check again 07:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
84on time
5late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL509 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 84 of its last 89 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.