Will JL515 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:35≈12:42
Lands14:10≈14:20
As of 01:19, JL515 should push back about 12:42 (scheduled 12:35) and land about 14:20 (scheduled 14:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonJL515's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈72 to 21
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈10
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 130
Check again 09:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
50on time
35late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL515 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 50 of its last 90 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.