Will JL517 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:15≈13:25
Lands14:50≈15:03
As of 01:19, JL517 should push back about 13:25 (scheduled 13:15) and land about 15:03 (scheduled 14:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonJL517's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Leaves≈102 to 25
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈15
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 130
Check again 10:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
34on time
42late
14very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL517 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 56. It wasn't cancelled once.