Will JL519 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:35≈14:45
Lands16:10≈16:23
As of 01:19, JL519 should push back about 14:45 (scheduled 14:35) and land about 16:23 (scheduled 16:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonJL519's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at SapporoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈102 to 24
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈15
departures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
40on time
41late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL519 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 40 of its last 90 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 50. It wasn't cancelled once.