Will JL521 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:35≈15:55
Lands17:10≈17:33
As of 03:19, JL521 should push back about 15:55 (scheduled 15:35) and land about 17:33 (scheduled 17:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonJL521's typical departure, last 90 days21
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈2012 to 30
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈25
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 189
Check again 12:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
60late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL521 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 90 flights, usually 23 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 71. It wasn't cancelled once.