Will JL523 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:40≈16:51
Lands18:15≈18:28
As of 01:19, JL523 should push back about 16:51 (scheduled 16:40) and land about 18:28 (scheduled 18:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonJL523's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at SapporoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈103 to 23
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈15
departures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:40Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
35on time
46late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL523 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 35 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 55. It wasn't cancelled once.