Will GK517 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Tue 3 Nov · Jetstar Japan
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:10≈16:13
Lands18:40≈18:35
As of 18:49, GK517 should push back about 16:13 (scheduled 16:10) and land about 18:35 (scheduled 18:40).
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Tokyo; GK517 is new to us7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as GK508 from Fukuoka, due 15:30−1
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−3
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is backing up0% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈3−1 to 10
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−5
weather at FukuokaJetstar Japan todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 46Meeting someone?
