Will MM571 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Wed 4 Nov · Peach
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:45≈14:49
Lands≈16:35
As of 18:19, MM571 should push back about 14:49 (scheduled 14:45) and land about 16:35 (scheduled 16:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual afternoonMM571's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈40 to 11
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈0
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoPeach Aviation todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 11:45Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
16late
5very late
0cancelled
M
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W
T
F
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MM571 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.