Will TO4631 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Transavia
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:05≈09:06
Lands11:05≈10:58
As of 01:19, TO4631 should push back about 09:06 (scheduled 09:05) and land about 10:58 (scheduled 11:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual morningTO4631's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as TO4630 from Paris, due 08:200
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈1−4 to 8
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−7
weather at Parisdepartures at MadridTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 08:20Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
42on time
7late
3very late
1cancelled
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TO4631 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 53 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It was cancelled once.