Will TO4781 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Transavia
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:00≈08:04
Lands10:00≈09:56
As of 01:19, TO4781 should push back about 08:04 (scheduled 08:00) and land about 09:56 (scheduled 10:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningTO4781's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈41 to 13
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−4
weather at Parisdepartures at MadridTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 05:00Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
60on time
6late
1very late
0cancelled
M
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W
T
F
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TO4781 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 60 of its last 67 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.