Will AD7858 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Azul · operated by Air Europa as UX1027
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:00≈08:07
Lands09:55≈09:53
As of 06:49, AD7858 should push back about 08:07 (scheduled 08:00) and land about 09:53 (scheduled 09:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningUX1027's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UX1094 from Amsterdam, which has landed0
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−2
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈70 to 15
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−2
weather at Parisdepartures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 07:15Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
13late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD7858 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 89 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It wasn't cancelled once.